Benfica vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
SLB
6 - 0
SPB
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
SLB
4 - 1
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1982 |
SLB
4 - 0
ZUR
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
GDA
1 - 1
SLB
8%
18%
74%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
EST
1 - 2
ESP
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 1
SAL
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
VST
1 - 1
ESP
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
ESP
0 - 0
BOA
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
VAR
0 - 1
ESP
62%
24%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |