Benfica vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94%
Win probability
4.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.1%
8-0
2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.5%
7-0
4%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5%
6-0
6.8%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.9%
5-0
10%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.6%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.3%
1.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
FCP
0 - 3
SLB
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
SLB
5 - 1
BOA
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
SLB
3 - 0
LEX
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
OLH
0 - 1
SLB
18%
25%
58%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 6
BOA
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
LEX
1 - 0
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 0
FAR
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
UFT
3 - 1
ESP
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |