Benfica vs Elvas SL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
4.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.2%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.2%
+8
2.7%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
0.1%
+7
5.2%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
3%
8-2
0.8%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
8.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
4.6%
7-2
1.4%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
6.2%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.6%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
5.6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 3
SLB
20%
18%
62%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
57%
18%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
46%
20%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 0
ATL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
FAM
1 - 5
SLB
17%
17%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Elvas SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
SLE
8 - 1
BOA
73%
14%
12%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
VST
7 - 0
SLE
58%
19%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
FCP
3 - 1
SLE
85%
9%
7%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
SLE
3 - 2
ACA
70%
15%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
SCP
9 - 1
SLE
90%
6%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |