Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-0
Benfica vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
AMO
0 - 2
SLB
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 0
POR
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
DZG
0 - 0
SLB
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
SLB
6 - 0
PEN
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1980 |
SCP
2 - 2
SLB
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
DZG
0 - 0
SLB
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
DZG
0 - 0
PRG
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 0
DZG
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
DZG
1 - 0
TOR
46%
26%
27%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
TOR
3 - 1
DZG
85%
10%
5%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |