Benfica vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
SLB
0 - 1
MUD
20%
25%
54%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
FCK
0 - 0
SLB
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
BOA
3 - 0
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
AVE
0 - 2
SCP
18%
23%
60%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
AVE
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
AVE
0 - 1
SPB
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
BMA
2 - 2
AVE
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCM
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |