Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 6-2
Benfica vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
FAM
1 - 5
SLB
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1993 |
GKS
1 - 1
SLB
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
SLB
2 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
SLB
4 - 1
FAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1993 |
CSK
4 - 1
CHB
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1993 |
LPL
0 - 0
CSK
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
CSK
0 - 1
LOK
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1993 |
FCB
1 - 3
CSK
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1993 |
DOB
1 - 1
CSK
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |