Champions League 1/16
Global 4-3
Benfica vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
BOA
0 - 0
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
SLB
2 - 0
RIO
85%
10%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
CRV
3 - 2
SLB
45%
25%
29%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
57%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
CRV
3 - 2
SLB
45%
25%
29%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
CRV
2 - 3
VER
79%
13%
7%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
VER
1 - 0
CRV
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
FCB
2 - 1
CRV
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
CRV
2 - 4
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |