Benfica vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
4.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
GFC
1 - 2
SLB
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
SLB
0 - 0
SCP
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
SLB
1 - 0
EST
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 1
FAR
41%
26%
32%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
CAM
2 - 1
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
CHA
1 - 0
SPB
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
BOA
2 - 0
CHA
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 3
FCP
14%
27%
60%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |