Benfica vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
VIT
1 - 2
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
SLB
6 - 1
TOR
100%
0%
0%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
BOA
0 - 2
SLB
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
SLB
2 - 0
OEL
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
FAR
0 - 2
SLB
15%
25%
60%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
CHA
3 - 1
OEL
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1987 |
CHA
4 - 1
OLH
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
OLH
1 - 1
CHA
58%
21%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
FAR
4 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
CHA
3 - 1
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |