Benfica vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
5 - 0
SCP
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
0 - 1
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1986 |
DUK
1 - 0
SLB
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 0
PEN
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
SAL
1 - 1
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHA
57%
20%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
CHA
2 - 2
SPC
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
VST
0 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
CHA
0 - 1
VIT
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |