Champions League Last 16
Global 3-3
Benfica vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
VST
1 - 0
SLB
40%
27%
34%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 0
SPB
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
CEL
3 - 0
SLB
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
35%
28%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
SLB
8 - 0
BOA
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
MHE
1 - 2
CEL
38%
25%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
CEL
3 - 0
SLB
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
CEL
0 - 2
HOM
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
AYR
2 - 4
CEL
19%
24%
58%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1969 |
ABE
2 - 3
CEL
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |