Benfica vs CD Torres Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.3%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
0.3%
+6
6.7%
5-0
11.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
12%
4-0
16.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
17.9%
3-0
19.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.5%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
12.2%
4.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
1.1%
2-2
0.1%
0
4.2%
0.4%
Win probability
0.11
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.1%
-1
0.4%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
SLB
1 - 2
PAO
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ALV
3 - 1
SLB
15%
25%
60%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SLB
1 - 1
BOA
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
PAO
1 - 2
SLB
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Torres Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
POR
2 - 1
CDT
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 68 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1973 |
SCP
5 - 0
CDT
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 88 | 67 | 0 |