Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 11-1
Benfica vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
SLB
2 - 3
FCP
59%
18%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
SLB
5 - 1
FCB
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
71%
14%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
3 - 2
CAR
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
9 - 1
VST
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 5
APO
40%
22%
38%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
APO
2 - 3
CAS
83%
10%
7%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
ACA
4 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
8%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
SLB
10 - 1
CAS
94%
5%
2%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
CAS
1 - 2
FCP
9%
14%
77%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |