Benfica vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.2%
Win probability
4.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.2%
8-0
2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.6%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.1%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.9%
5-0
9%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.5%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.6%
1.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCB
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
BEL
2 - 3
SLB
43%
22%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
5 - 2
APO
90%
7%
3%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
1 - 4
SCP
66%
17%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ACA
3 - 3
SLB
13%
18%
70%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
CAS
1 - 2
FCP
9%
14%
77%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
SCP
5 - 1
CAS
95%
3%
1%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCB
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 3
BEL
15%
19%
66%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
APO
1 - 0
CAS
83%
10%
7%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |