Benfica vs Carcavelinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 2
SLB
24%
20%
57%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
SCP
2 - 2
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 0
APO
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
47%
21%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACA
62%
20%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 0
BEL
18%
18%
64%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
89%
7%
4%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 2
FCB
46%
22%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 3
SCP
16%
18%
66%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |