Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-0
Benfica vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
SLB
2 - 0
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
TOR
1 - 1
SLB
19%
19%
62%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
SLB
10 - 1
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
VST
2 - 3
SLB
19%
20%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SLB
3 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
9%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
CAL
3 - 1
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
BEL
5 - 0
CAL
92%
6%
3%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
CAL
2 - 2
LGC
44%
23%
33%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
CAL
2 - 1
FAB
53%
21%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
FCP
4 - 0
CAL
93%
5%
2%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |