Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Benfica vs Budapesti Vasas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
LEX
0 - 2
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1968 |
VAS
0 - 0
SLB
38%
23%
40%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
SLB
7 - 0
BEL
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
VST
2 - 0
SLB
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1968 |
SLB
3 - 0
SPB
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Budapesti Vasas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1968 |
VAS
0 - 0
SLB
38%
23%
40%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 5
VAS
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
VAS
6 - 0
VAL
69%
17%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
VAS
8 - 1
DUN
73%
16%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
DUN
0 - 1
VAS
44%
24%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |