Europa League 1/16
Global 0-2
Benfica vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SLB
3 - 1
MAR
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
NAN
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
25%
28%
47%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
NAN
0 - 2
SLB
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
MON
4 - 0
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
MON
2 - 3
EBT
75%
15%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
BYM
3 - 1
MON
45%
24%
32%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
STR
1 - 2
MON
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
MON
6 - 1
AHA
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |