Benfica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
2º
1º
44
3º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
74 | 74 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 2
SLB
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
38%
25%
38%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SLB
3 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
ARO
0 - 3
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SLB
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
BOA
0 - 0
CAS
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
BOA
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
BOA
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BOA
4 - 2
POR
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
BOA
1 - 1
CHA
41%
29%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |