Benfica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
SLB
3 - 0
BMA
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
MAR
0 - 2
SLB
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
SLB
2 - 0
FAR
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
FCP
0 - 2
SLB
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
SPB
5 - 2
BOA
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
BOA
2 - 2
FAM
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1991 |
BMA
2 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
VST
2 - 0
BOA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
BOA
4 - 0
NAC
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |