Benfica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 0
ESP
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
VST
0 - 0
SLB
19%
28%
54%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
SLB
4 - 1
BEL
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1980 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 0
VIT
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
SPB
1 - 0
BOA
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
BOA
1 - 0
VAR
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
PEN
3 - 0
BOA
40%
28%
31%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 0
BOA
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
BOA
3 - 1
VST
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |