Benfica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
SLB
3 - 0
LEX
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
OLH
0 - 1
SLB
18%
25%
58%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
SLB
4 - 0
FAR
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
BOA
4 - 0
LEX
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
BOA
6 - 1
UFT
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
ATL
0 - 1
BOA
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
BOA
1 - 0
VST
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |