Benfica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
NKO
1 - 1
SLB
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAB
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
76%
14%
9%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
LEX
1 - 1
SLB
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
BOA
1 - 0
FCB
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
TIR
1 - 0
BOA
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
BOA
2 - 3
SLB
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
SLB
6 - 1
BOA
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
BOA
2 - 0
SPB
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |