Benfica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
LGC
0 - 2
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
SLB
5 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
SCP
4 - 2
SLB
67%
16%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
SCP
3 - 2
SLB
67%
16%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BOA
2 - 2
VIT
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VST
4 - 0
BOA
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
BOA
3 - 0
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
BOA
6 - 2
VST
50%
21%
30%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
VST
6 - 0
BOA
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |