Benfica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.4%
Win probability
4.77
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.4%
10-1
0.5%
+9
1.9%
8-0
2.6%
9-1
1.1%
10-2
0.2%
+8
3.9%
7-0
4.4%
8-1
2%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
0.1%
+7
6.8%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
3.4%
8-2
0.8%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.7%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
5%
7-2
1.3%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
6.2%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.2%
3.8%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
3.8%
1.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
OEL
3 - 6
SLB
17%
17%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
SLB
2 - 3
EST
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
SCP
1 - 3
SLB
57%
18%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
SLB
5 - 2
ATL
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 7
SLB
6%
11%
83%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
SPB
3 - 3
BOA
75%
14%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 0
OLH
32%
20%
48%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 2
VIT
60%
19%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
OEL
5 - 0
BOA
70%
16%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |