Benfica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
4.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.4%
3.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
27%
20%
53%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
UNI
2 - 6
SLB
19%
19%
62%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 2
FCP
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
SCP
1 - 2
SLB
72%
14%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCB
89%
7%
4%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
BEL
10 - 0
BOA
81%
11%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
BOA
3 - 6
FCP
16%
17%
68%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
BOA
1 - 5
SCP
12%
15%
72%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
BOA
2 - 1
ACA
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
UNI
6 - 0
BOA
63%
18%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -2 |