Europa League 1/32
Global 4-2
Benfica vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
SLB
1 - 0
SAL
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
VST
1 - 3
SLB
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
SLB
3 - 0
BOA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
ESP
0 - 1
SLB
15%
26%
59%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
SLB
2 - 0
BOA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
BET
1 - 3
ATM
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
ZAR
2 - 0
BET
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
FCB
2 - 2
BET
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
BET
3 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
SPO
1 - 0
BET
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |