Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
SLB
0 - 0
INT
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
GFC
1 - 2
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
RBK
2 - 1
SLB
49%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 1
MOR
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
FCP
4 - 1
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 1
BOA
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 5
ACA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |