Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
12%
26%
62%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
SLB
3 - 0
UDL
87%
8%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
BRA
0 - 2
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
87 | 37 | 50 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
22%
28%
50%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
SLB
5 - 0
BMA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
BEL
1 - 1
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
SPB
1 - 1
BEL
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 0
ESP
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
BOA
2 - 1
BEL
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCP
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |