Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
2.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
FCP
4 - 0
SLB
30%
29%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
BOA
0 - 3
SLB
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
SLB
5 - 1
SCP
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
FAB
0 - 2
SLB
21%
27%
51%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCB
52%
27%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
TIR
3 - 1
BEL
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
BEL
1 - 0
FAR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCP
29%
29%
43%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |