Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
SLB
3 - 0
LEX
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
VAR
0 - 1
SLB
20%
27%
53%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
FCB
2 - 2
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAR
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
FCP
0 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
FCB
0 - 0
BEL
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
BEL
2 - 1
UFT
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
VST
4 - 0
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |