Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
VST
3 - 2
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
FAB
1 - 2
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
SLB
1 - 0
SAN
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
SLB
4 - 0
SPB
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
BEL
1 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
BEL
1 - 0
SPB
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
ACA
6 - 0
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
BEL
7 - 1
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |