Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
VST
4 - 4
SLB
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
SLB
4 - 1
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
SLB
4 - 2
VIT
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 2
LSO
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
LEX
0 - 1
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
BEL
3 - 0
LEX
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
FCB
0 - 1
BEL
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
BEL
1 - 0
BMA
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
SCP
3 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
BEL
1 - 1
LGC
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |