Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 4
SLB
9%
15%
76%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
SLB
6 - 0
FAB
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
SLB
6 - 0
SPC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
59%
19%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
BEL
3 - 2
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
TOR
6 - 2
BEL
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
BEL
4 - 0
FCB
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
VST
1 - 2
BEL
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 1
ORI
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |