Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
63%
17%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 1
VST
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
SLB
4 - 1
BOA
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
8%
17%
75%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
SLB
5 - 0
SPC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
ACA
2 - 5
BEL
41%
25%
35%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 4
SCP
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
BOA
2 - 1
BEL
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 0
VIT
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |