Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
18%
17%
65%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
OLH
3 - 3
SLB
24%
19%
57%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
SLB
3 - 1
BOA
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
OEL
3 - 6
SLB
17%
17%
67%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
SLB
2 - 3
EST
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 0
VIT
83%
10%
7%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 3
BEL
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
BEL
4 - 0
OLH
75%
13%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
BEL
1 - 1
OEL
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |