Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 11-6
Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
11.9%
9.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
SLB
9 - 1
SAL
92%
6%
3%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
SAL
4 - 2
SLB
21%
19%
60%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
SLB
5 - 0
VIT
95%
4%
2%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
SAL
0 - 6
SLB
6%
11%
83%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
SLB
7 - 2
VST
86%
9%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1945 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
EST
1 - 0
BEL
37%
22%
41%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
BEL
1 - 0
EST
78%
12%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
BEL
14 - 1
SAL
93%
5%
2%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
BEL
15 - 2
ACA
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |