Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.6%
10.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1940 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 2
SLB
29%
22%
50%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1940 |
SLB
5 - 2
FCB
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 2
SLB
25%
21%
54%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
BEL
5 - 0
FCB
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1940 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 1940 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1940 |
BEL
4 - 4
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1940 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |