Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.3%
12.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 2
SLB
29%
22%
50%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1940 |
SLB
5 - 2
FCB
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 2
SLB
25%
21%
54%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
SLB
6 - 1
CAR
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
CAS
1 - 2
SLB
19%
19%
61%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1940 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1940 |
BEL
4 - 4
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1940 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
79%
12%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
BEL
4 - 1
SCP
40%
21%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |