Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
13.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
SCP
1 - 4
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
SLB
10 - 2
LEX
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
SLB
5 - 1
CAR
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
VST
1 - 2
SLB
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
BEL
3 - 0
FCP
45%
22%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 2
BEL
36%
23%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
BEL
2 - 3
ACA
79%
13%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
48%
21%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
LEX
3 - 5
BEL
36%
21%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |