Benfica vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
FAM
0 - 1
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
SLB
5 - 1
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
VIT
1 - 2
SLB
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
SLB
5 - 0
SCP
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
BOA
0 - 1
SLB
30%
28%
43%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
BMA
2 - 3
FCP
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
FCB
0 - 4
BMA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
BMA
4 - 0
ACV
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BMA
2 - 3
VST
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
FAM
1 - 2
BMA
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |