Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Benfica vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
BYM
1 - 0
SLB
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SLB
5 - 1
SPB
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
SLB
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
SLB
4 - 1
TON
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
STU
1 - 3
BYM
9%
18%
73%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
BYM
1 - 0
SLB
74%
17%
10%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BYM
1 - 0
EIN
82%
13%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
KOL
0 - 1
BYM
9%
19%
72%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | +3 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
BYM
4 - 2
JUV
52%
24%
24%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | +1 |