Benfica vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SLB
6 - 0
VST
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
CSK
2 - 0
SLB
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LAU
1 - 4
BAS
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCL
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 4
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 0
MUD
33%
25%
41%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BAS
5 - 1
SIO
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |