Champions League Last 16
Global 2-0
Benfica vs B 1903 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
33%
26%
40%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
TOR
0 - 0
SLB
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
SLB
2 - 1
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
VIT
0 - 1
SLB
28%
26%
47%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
SLB
0 - 0
TOR
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
B19
2 - 0
TRA
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
TRA
1 - 0
B19
79%
14%
8%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
B19
2 - 3
KOL
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
KOL
2 - 0
B19
89%
8%
3%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
B19
1 - 2
DYN
13%
19%
68%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |