Benfica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
3.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
FCP
0 - 1
SLB
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
SLB
4 - 1
CDM
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1977 |
BMA
2 - 2
SLB
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
SLB
3 - 1
LEX
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
POR
1 - 2
SLB
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 1
BEL
29%
30%
41%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
BOA
6 - 2
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 5
VST
29%
32%
40%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
ACA
0 - 0
ATL
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |