Benfica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
BEL
4 - 2
SLB
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
SLB
5 - 0
BMA
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
FEN
1 - 0
SLB
40%
26%
33%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 4
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
SLB
9 - 1
LEX
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
BMA
1 - 3
ATL
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
LEX
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
BOA
4 - 3
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 2
SCP
22%
27%
52%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
FAB
2 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |