Benfica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 7
SLB
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCB
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
42%
22%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
57%
19%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ATL
2 - 1
VIT
68%
18%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
VST
1 - 0
ATL
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
LGC
4 - 3
ATL
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
ATL
1 - 2
ACA
62%
20%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |