Benfica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
6.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SPB
2 - 3
SLB
21%
19%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
SLB
2 - 1
ATL
90%
7%
4%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
VST
0 - 5
SLB
21%
19%
61%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
SLB
9 - 3
MAR
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
SLB
13 - 1
ACV
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ATL
1 - 1
BEL
31%
23%
46%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
SLB
2 - 1
ATL
90%
7%
4%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
SPC
0 - 1
ATL
48%
20%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
ATL
6 - 2
LGC
54%
19%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAM
65%
16%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |