Benfica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 3
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
77%
13%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
SPC
1 - 0
SLB
8%
13%
80%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SLB
6 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 2
SLB
5%
11%
84%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 7
BEL
38%
23%
39%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
OLH
4 - 1
ATL
53%
20%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
ATL
4 - 3
SPB
65%
17%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
BOA
3 - 3
ATL
45%
22%
34%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 1
OEL
67%
17%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |