Benfica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
4.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
VST
0 - 5
SLB
21%
19%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
SLB
9 - 3
MAR
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
SLB
13 - 1
ACV
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
SLB
4 - 0
SPB
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BOA
1 - 4
SLB
13%
17%
71%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1949 |
SPC
0 - 1
ATL
48%
20%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
ATL
6 - 2
LGC
54%
19%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAM
65%
16%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
LUS
0 - 1
ATL
38%
24%
39%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ATL
1 - 2
VIT
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |